This four-fight betting card combines a bantamweight rematch with heavyweight, flyweight, and featherweight markets. The positions below use style interaction, recent data, and price rather than fighter name value. The card includes breakdowns of Yan vs Dvalishvili, Tuivasa vs Despaigne, Pantoja vs Van, and McGregor vs Holloway.
Merab Dvalishvili vs Petr Yan: Yan by Decision
The rematch market lists Yan at 1.53 to 1.55 and Dvalishvili at 2.40 to 2.60. Yan’s price implies a probability of about 64.5 percent, while Dvalishvili’s best price implies about 38.5 percent. The first meeting went to a decision, with Yan’s patience and body shots helping him manage Dvalishvili’s pressure.
Dvalishvili is expected to attempt takedowns sooner and force a demanding pace. Yan must defend those takedowns and maintain the patience that helped him win the first fight. Dvalishvili previously faded from fatigue, while Yan is 20-5 and Dvalishvili is 21-5.
The value sits with Yan to win by decision rather than on the straight moneyline. The pick follows the first fight’s pattern and the need for Dvalishvili to work through Yan’s takedown defense. Stake 0.75 units at medium confidence.
Tai Tuivasa vs Robelis Despaigne: Despaigne to Win
Tuivasa enters at 15-10 with 14 knockouts and a seven-fight losing streak. Despaigne is 6-2 with all six wins by knockout and stands 201 cm tall. The former Olympic taekwondoist relies on distance and kicking attacks, but wrestling has exposed a weakness in his game.
Despaigne’s range should help him keep Tuivasa from applying sustained pressure. Tuivasa remains dangerous because of his power, but his recent form makes Despaigne the preferred side. Stake 0.50 units on Despaigne to win.
Alexandre Pantoja vs Joshua Van: Under 4.5 Rounds
Pantoja is listed at 1.36, and the under 4.5 rounds market is priced at 1.64. Pantoja has a 30-6 record, an eight-fight win streak, and strong grappling. Van is 17-2, has powerful boxing, and has shown weaker ground defense.
The under 4.5 line covers Pantoja’s expected grappling route and Van’s threat on the feet. Pantoja is expected to take the fight to the ground, where his control and submission threat could decide the contest. Bet 0.75 units on under 4.5 rounds at 1.64.
Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway: Holloway by KO
Holloway is listed at 1.52 and McGregor at 2.60. Holloway is the favorite, while McGregor returns to MMA after five years away. Analysts expect Holloway’s pressure and power to produce a knockout, with the fight likely to end before the fourth round.
McGregor’s unpredictability remains a factor, but Holloway’s recent form and activity make him the stronger pick. The play is Holloway by knockout or technical knockout, with the fight expected to finish early.
| Fight | Market | Price | Stake |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dvalishvili vs Yan | Yan by decision | – | 0.75u |
| Tuivasa vs Despaigne | Despaigne to win | – | 0.50u |
| Pantoja vs Van | Under 4.5 rounds | 1.64 | 0.75u |
| McGregor vs Holloway | Holloway by KO/TKO | – | 0.75u |
The total stake is 2.75 units across four positions. The card leans on the Yan decision angle, Despaigne’s range, Pantoja’s grappling, and Holloway’s expected finishing pressure.
